TopoRank v4 Predictions, Week 14

The end of the regular season is here! I have the predictions for Week 14 using TopoRank v4, and I'll have predictions for the entire bowl lineup once the games are published:

Visitor	Home	Predict	Spread	Actual
1. Auburn	19. South Carolina	1.4	5-6	39
2. Oregon	Oregon St	25.2	15.5-16.5	17
9. Oklahoma	13. Nebraska	3.8	4-6.5	3
Utah St	11. Boise St	43.5	38-40	36
21. Florida St	15. Virginia Tech	0.9	3.5-4.5	11
17. Nevada	Louisiana Tech	15.8	9-12.5	18
Arizona St	23. Arizona	3.3	5-6.5	-1
Rutgers	24. West Virginia	19.1	19.5-20.5	21
25. N Illinois	Miami (OH)	19.4	14.5-18.5	-5

TopoRank hit on 4 of 9 games this week, giving back 15% of the gain from last week. The overall record for the season is 33 out of 60 (5% return). Having fewer games reduces the diversity (safety) of the process, so it's advisable to reduce the total stakes on weeks like these.

As a further experiment, I'll chart up TopoRank's success for each of the BCS conferences this week (it's harder to find historical spread numbers, so I'm not going to create the same data going backwards in time).

I'll also post the new TopoRank rankings and critique the bowl selections when they are released.