Handicapping 2010 NCAA Week 12

Sticking with the theme of validating TopoRank, here are the predictions for Week 12:

Visitor	Home	Prediction	Spread	Actual
Fresno St	4. Boise St	16.9	30.5	51
Mississippi	5. LSU	20.3	15.5-16	7
6. Stanford	Cal	5.4	6.5-8	34
7. Wisconsin	Michigan	3.0	4.5-5.5	20
8. Nebraska	19. Texas A&M	3.2	-(2.5-3)	3
9. Ohio St	20. Iowa	4.5	3	3
10. Oklahoma St	Kansas	21.7	22.5-24	34
Purdue	12. Michigan St	22.7	19.5-21	4
13. Arkansas	21. Mississippi St	2.5	3-4	7
14. Oklahoma	Baylor	10.4	7-7.5	29
15. Missouri	Iowa St	10.6	11-12	14
16. Virginia Tech	24. Miami	2.3	-(2-2.5)	-14
Troy	17. South Carolina	24.4	22.5-23.5	45
New Mexico St	18. Nevada	34.7	37.5	46
23. Utah	San Diego St	4.1	2.5-3	4
25. Florida St	Maryland	4.1	4-6	skip

The top 3 teams have this week off. TopoRank predicts two upsets: Texas A&M over Nebraska and Miami over Virginia Tech; the spread is in favor of the higher ranked team in each case (marked with a negative in my table to reflect the opposite polarity). Florida State vs Maryland is currently a skip. 9 of 15 games won't beat the spread.

A terrible week for predictions here. I hit on only 4 of 15, which translates into a whopping 49% loss. TopoRank v4 did considerably better.