Saturday, November 20, 2010

TopoRank v4 Predictions, 2010 week 12

Here are the predictions for Week 12 using TopoRank v4:

VisitorHomePredictionSpreadActual
Fresno St4. Boise St32.630.551
Mississippi5. LSU22.415.5-167
6. StanfordCal3.56.5-834
7. WisconsinMichigan11.14.5-5.520
8. Nebraska19. Texas A&M3.2-(2.5-3)3
9. Ohio St20. Iowa10.233
10. Oklahoma StKansas35.622.5-2434
Purdue12. Michigan St25.819.5-214
13. Arkansas21. Mississippi St3.23-4skip
14. OklahomaBaylor16.67-7.529
15. MissouriIowa St13.111-1214
16. Virginia Tech24. Miami0.3-(2-2.5)-14
Troy17. South Carolina26.222.5-23.545
New Mexico St18. Nevada15.737.546
23. UtahSan Diego St5.92.5-34
25. Florida StMaryland3.54-614


TopoRank v4 hits on 8 of 15 picks for a slim 2% gain. Among the big calls are Texas A&M's upset victory over Nebraska, Boise State's blowout win, and Wisconsin's dominating win over Michigan. There were also a few big misses were Nebraska's trampling of New Mexico State, Michigan State's narrow margin over Purdue and Stanford's pounding of California. A number of these varied wildly from the real spreads too, and that's why they play the game. As a coworker once told me, a person would be foolish to pin their well-being to the performance of 20-year-olds. But that, is why a diversified approach should perform!

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